NiteRider wrote:The AWD variant of the Model 3 will most likely be my next car. Probably sometime in 2019.
Unless you put down a deposit for a Tesla Model 3, you're unlikely to get one until past 2020, IMO. They got over 400,000 reservations for the vehicle. While it's realistic that many cancelled their order, you can still deduce that it will take Tesla years to fulfill their pre-orders before they can offer the car to others. However, I don't think that's a bad thing. They will need the time and first wave of customers to work out the kinks and issues that they will inevitably have. They are a new automaker with bespoke EV technology so issues are unquestionably going to arise as they have for the Model S and Model X.
SamirD wrote:I think Tesla has finally figured out the niche that the car fits into, and thus is adjusting the prices accordingly. Insurance is on par with top luxury brands like Mercedes, BMW, and Audi as well as lease payments. Maintenance is even on par when you annualize it.
But even at 100k, the car has much more in driving tech than even the most advanced technologies from Mercedes, BMW, Porsche or anything Japanese. The best those brands can offer today is the ability to brake for you and variable cruise control, and that's it. Complete accident avoidance and self-drive capability right now are things that can't even be fathomed. That's what appeals to me about the Model S.
I think it will take more than cost savings to bring EVs to the forefront. I saw an excellent documentary on netflix last night called 'Revenge of the Electric Car' that documented a lot of what happened from 2008-2011 as it happened. Understanding what made the products from that era 'work' in terms of consumer acceptance as well as what's happening today gives you a good idea of what the future might hold.
Yes, the Autopilot is pretty neat about Tesla, but I think it's mainly appealing to people who aren't interested in driving their cars. It personally doesn't appeal to me very much as I like to drive. Even in heavy traffic, the most I'd want is an efficient electrified powertrain rather than a self-driving vehicle. For me, the main benefit of the technology would be reducing the number of traffic jams I'd sit in because it could prevent the accidents others would get into. I essentially want the technology to drive the cars of people who are otherwise incompetent and/or would rather pay attention to their smartphones than their windshields.
That being said, Autopilot can be useful. My girlfriend's grand uncle owned a Model S. I say it in the past tense because he recently passed away from a heart attack. However, when he was suffering from the heart attack, he was able to have the Autopilot of his Tesla drive him to a hospital. It basically turned into an ambulance for him, automatically driving him to the closest hospital as he just sat there. While he later died, it's still neat to know the car drove him to the hospital's emergency entrance successfully. An almost-lifesaver.